Viewing archive of måndag, 8 februari 2010
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2010 Feb 08 2211 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
:::::::::: CORRECTED COPY :::::::::: SDF Nummer 039 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 08 Feb 2010IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 07-2100Z till 08-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 1045 (N23W17)
produced three M-class events in the last 24 hours. STEREO and
SOHO/LASCO imagery observed CME activity with each of the three
events. The largest event was a M4 at 08/0743Z with an associated
Tenflare of 150 sfu. This region has continued to grow in both
white light area coverage and sunspot count and is a magnetic
beta-gamma-delta configuration. There were two additional Tenflares
observed during the period (both associated with Region 1045
events), a C7/Sf at 08/0415Z with a 100 sfu Tenflare, and a C8/1f at
08/0523Z with a 100 sfu Tenflare. A new region was numbered today
as Region 1047 (S15E70).
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate with M-class flares likely. There is a slight chance for a
X-class event from Region 1045.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 07-2100Z till 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. One unsettled period at
mid-latitudes was reported at 08/1600Z.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly unsettled with isolated active
conditions for the next three days (09-11 February). These
conditions are forecast due to the recent CME activity.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 09 Feb till 11 Feb
| M-klass | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| X-klass | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 08 Feb 094 Prognoserat 09 Feb-11 Feb 096/096/094 90 Day Mean 08 Feb 078
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 07 Feb 002/003 Förväntat Afr/Ap 08 Feb 003/005 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 09 Feb-11 Feb 008/008-008/009-010/010
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 09 Feb till 11 Feb
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 30% | 30% | 35% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 02% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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