Viewing archive of onsdag, 24 juni 2009

Solaktivitetsrapport

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2009 Jun 24 2201 UTC
Skapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com

USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet

SDF Nummer 175 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 24 Jun 2009

IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 23-2100Z till 24-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours. Region 1023 (S23E01) continues to be the only spotted region on the disk and was stable and quiet.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 23-2100Z till 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels during the past 24 hours. In particular, active periods were observed between 0300-0900Z and 1800-2100Z. Solar wind signatures showed a change to slightly disturbed conditions beginning around 0300Z and lasting through the period: the magnetic field intensity increased, the Bz component of the solar wind showed occasional moderate fluctuations with peak negative values around -10 nT early in the day, and around -20 nT later in the day. In addition the spiral angle phi indicated two possible sector boundary changes. During the last 12 hours of the period solar wind velocity was gradually increasing. The signatures late in the day were consistent with the onset of a coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is expected to be generally unsettled with a chance for active periods for the first day (25 June) as the current disturbance continues. Activity levels are expected to decline to generally quiet levels for the second and third days (26-27 June).
III. Chans för solutbrott från 25 Jun till 27 Jun
M-klass01%01%01%
X-klass01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observerad       24 Jun 067
  Prognoserat   25 Jun-27 Jun  068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        24 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
  Observerad Afr/Ap 23 Jun  005/004
  Förväntat     Afr/Ap 24 Jun  012/011
  Prognoserat    Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun  008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 25 Jun till 27 Jun
A. Medelhöga breddgrader
Aktivt20%05%05%
Små stormförhållanden05%01%01%
Svåra stormförhållanden01%01%01%
B. Höga breddgrader
Aktivt30%05%05%
Små stormförhållanden15%01%01%
Svåra stormförhållanden05%01%01%

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