Viewing archive of torsdag, 6 juli 2006
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2006 Jul 06 2203 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 187 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 06 Jul 2006IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 05-2100Z till 06-2100Z Solar activity was moderate with a single M-class flare
(M2/2F) occurring at 0836Z accompanied by type II and type IV radio
sweeps. The estimated shock speed of the type II radio sweep was
565 km/sec. The M2 was associated with a disappearing solar
filament (extent of 11 degrees) and a partial halo CME (plane of sky
speed of 824 km/sec) from the southwest limb. Region 898 (S08W41)
features a large negative polarity leader spot with a fragment
splitting off to the southwest. There is an incursion of positive
polarity flux penetrating the main spot. Region 899 (S05E56) was
quiet and stable.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be low,
but there is a chance for an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 05-2100Z till 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with an active interval
from 05/2100 - 06/0300Z. The solar wind speed remains elevated due
to a coronal hole high speed stream but has steadily declined during
the past 24 hours. An enhancement of greater than 10 MeV protons
began around 1030 UTC in response to the M2 flare and CME. The
maximum flux reached approximately 2 PFU. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for July 07 - 08. An increase to
active, with a chance for periods of minor storm levels may occur
sometime July 09 due to the arrival of the flank of today's CME.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 07 Jul till 09 Jul
| M-klass | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 06 Jul 085 Prognoserat 07 Jul-09 Jul 085/085/085 90 Day Mean 06 Jul 081
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 05 Jul 018/019 Förväntat Afr/Ap 06 Jul 012/010 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 07 Jul-09 Jul 007/008-007/010-020/025
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 07 Jul till 09 Jul
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 20% | 35% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 25% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 20% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 25% | 35% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 15% | 30% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 10% | 25% |
Senaste nytt
måndag, 22 april 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
lördag, 23 mars 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
onsdag, 20 mars 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Senaste inläggen
AR3654 3Unspecified geomagnetic activity 948Changelog/Featurelog 154What are these long and thin eruptions? 9IMF - BT strength 8
Fler foruminläggStöd SpaceWeatherLive.com!
För att vara tillgängliga vid stora norrskensutbrott måsta vi ha kraftiga servrar som kan hantera alla besökare. Donera och stöd vårt projekt, så att vi kan finnas online även under stora stormar!
Rymdvädersfakta
| Senaste X-utbrottet | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Senaste M-utbrottet | 2024/04/25 | M1.3 |
| Senaste geomagnetiska stormen | 2024/04/26 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Fläckfria dagar | |
|---|---|
| Senaste dag utan solfläckar | 2022/06/08 |
| Månadsvis faktiskt antal solfläckar | |
|---|---|
| mars 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 136.8 +28.6 |