Viewing archive of onsdag, 14 juni 2006
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2006 Jun 14 2204 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 165 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 14 Jun 2006 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 892 (S07W70) produced low level B-class flares early in the period. Other numbered regions have been quiescent during the past 24 hours. No new regions were numbered today.IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 13-2100Z till 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. Solar wind speed
increased from 400 km/sec to a maximum of 550 km/sec late in the
period, this coinciding with an anticipated recurrent coronal hole.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels again today.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated active
conditions may be possible on 15 June due to a favorably positioned
coronal hole.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 15 Jun till 17 Jun
| M-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 14 Jun 075 Prognoserat 15 Jun-17 Jun 075/075/075 90 Day Mean 14 Jun 081
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 13 Jun 002/003 Förväntat Afr/Ap 14 Jun 005/008 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 15 Jun-17 Jun 010/012-005/010-005/008
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 15 Jun till 17 Jun
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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