Viewing archive of tisdag, 6 september 2005
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2005 Sep 06 2204 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 249 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 06 Sep 2005 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity levels increased to moderate this period. A long duration M1 flare and an associated CME was in progress on the southeast limb at the time of this issue. The likely source of this event is old active Region 798 (S09, L=217), which is expected to rotate into view on 07 Sep. Old Region 798 was responsible for significant flare activity during its last transit across the visible disk, and was the likely source of several farside CMEs during the past two weeks. Region 805 (S12W59), the only active region with sunspots on the visible disk, remained quiet this period.IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate to high. Old Region 798 is rotating onto the visible disk
near S09, and is expected to significantly increase solar activity
levels.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 05-2100Z till 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again
today.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels on 07 and 08 Sep.
Isolated active periods are possible on 09 Sep due to a high speed
coronal hole stream.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 07 Sep till 09 Sep
| M-klass | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| X-klass | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 06 Sep 083 Prognoserat 07 Sep-09 Sep 090/100/105 90 Day Mean 06 Sep 091
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 05 Sep 009/014 Förväntat Afr/Ap 06 Sep 007/010 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 07 Sep-09 Sep 005/005-005/005-010/015
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 07 Sep till 09 Sep
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 05% |
Senaste nytt
måndag, 22 april 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
lördag, 23 mars 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
onsdag, 20 mars 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Senaste inläggen
Unspecified geomagnetic activity 10072024/05/03 X1.69 CME 6AR3663 25Unproven theories 380Filaments and prominences 69
Fler foruminläggStöd SpaceWeatherLive.com!
För att vara tillgängliga vid stora norrskensutbrott måsta vi ha kraftiga servrar som kan hantera alla besökare. Donera och stöd vårt projekt, så att vi kan finnas online även under stora stormar!
Rymdvädersfakta
| Senaste X-utbrottet | 2024/05/03 | X1.6 |
| Senaste M-utbrottet | 2024/05/03 | M4.4 |
| Senaste geomagnetiska stormen | 2024/05/02 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Fläckfria dagar | |
|---|---|
| Senaste dag utan solfläckar | 2022/06/08 |
| Månadsvis faktiskt antal solfläckar | |
|---|---|
| april 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Last 30 days | 149.4 +51.8 |