Viewing archive of fredag, 10 juni 2005
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2005 Jun 10 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 161 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 10 Jun 2005IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 09-2100Z till 10-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. Region 772 (S18W84)
produced the largest flare of the period, a C2 x-ray event that
occurred at 10/0310Z. Region 775 (N08W05) underwent a slight decay
in penumbral coverage today. The southern appendage off the
dominant spot in the cluster continues to exhibit delta
characteristics. No flares were observed from this region during the
period. Region 776 (S06E07) also appeared to show a slight decay
over the interval although the region continues to depict moderate
magnetic complexity. Region 777 (N05E57) was numbered today.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. Regions 775 and 776 are both capable of producing an
isolated low level M-class flare.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 09-2100Z till 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels.
Beginning late on 11 June, isolated active conditions may occur due
to the arrival of the very faint partial halo CME that occurred on 8
June.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 11 Jun till 13 Jun
| M-klass | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| X-klass | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 10 Jun 114 Prognoserat 11 Jun-13 Jun 110/100/100 90 Day Mean 10 Jun 094
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 09 Jun 003/005 Förväntat Afr/Ap 10 Jun 003/007 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 11 Jun-13 Jun 003/007-010/012-008/010
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 11 Jun till 13 Jun
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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