Viewing archive of tisdag, 3 maj 2005
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2005 May 03 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 123 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 03 May 2005IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 02-2100Z till 03-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 758 (S07E63) was
responsible for a long duration C8 flare at 02/2248 UTC and an
associated CME. A very bright post eruption arcade was visible on
SXI and EIT imagery. Region 758's limb proximity is hindering a
full analysis, however, it appears to be a moderately complex
beta-gamma group. Later in the day, a partial halo CME was observed
on LASCO imagery at 03/1750 UTC. This is another in a series of
backsided CME's that have occurred since 30 April. None of the
CME's are expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be low
with the chance for an isolated M-flare from Regions 756 (S07W38) or
758.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 02-2100Z till 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 04 May till 06 May
| M-klass | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 03 May 112 Prognoserat 04 May-06 May 110/110/105 90 Day Mean 03 May 092
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 02 May 006/007 Förväntat Afr/Ap 03 May 008/010 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 04 May-06 May 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 04 May till 06 May
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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