Viewing archive of tisdag, 8 mars 2005
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2005 Mar 08 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 067 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 08 Mar 2005IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 07-2100Z till 08-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The largest event of the
period was a B5.4 flare that occurred at 08/0309Z from Region 742
(S06E56). No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 07-2100Z till 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm levels. Solar
wind speed at ACE increased to a maximum near 820 km/s at about
08/0810Z and declined to 700 km/s by the end of the reporting
period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with minor storm periods possible
at high latitudes on 09 March. On 10 March, conditions are expected
to be mostly unsettled as the coronal hole high speed stream rotates
out of a geoeffective position. On 11 March, conditions are
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 09 Mar till 11 Mar
| M-klass | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 08 Mar 094 Prognoserat 09 Mar-11 Mar 095/100/100 90 Day Mean 08 Mar 097
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 07 Mar 028/042 Förväntat Afr/Ap 08 Mar 015/025 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar 012/020-008/015-005/010
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 09 Mar till 11 Mar
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 10% | 05% | 01% |
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