Viewing archive of tisdag, 16 november 2004
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2004 Nov 16 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 321 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 16 Nov 2004IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 15-2100Z till 16-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels today. Region 700
(N04W67) was limited to the production of lesser B and C-class
flares this period, the largest was a C1.4/Sf event that occurred at
16/0013Z. Sunspot area continues to grow as dominant penumbral
spots in both polarities increase in size. The beta-gamma magnetic
structure remains intact. A CME was observed by SOHO/LASCO imagery
on the northeast solar limb which appears to have been from a
back-sided source region. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 15-2100Z till 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
again today. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous
orbit continues settling to background levels from the event that
ended on 13 November.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled throughout the period.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 17 Nov till 19 Nov
| M-klass | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 16 Nov 108 Prognoserat 17 Nov-19 Nov 115/120/125 90 Day Mean 16 Nov 107
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 15 Nov 002/003 Förväntat Afr/Ap 16 Nov 005/007 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 17 Nov-19 Nov 004/008-004/008-002/008
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 17 Nov till 19 Nov
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
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