Viewing archive of torsdag, 3 juni 2004

Solaktivitetsrapport

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2004 Jun 03 2200 UTC
Skapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com

USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet

SDF Nummer 155 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 03 Jun 2004

IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 02-2100Z till 03-2100Z

Solar activity continues at very low levels. Region 621 (S14W01) contains minor magnetic mixing, but produced only small B-class activity. This period was actually highlighted by a number of CMEs, predominately off the west limb. The first of these occurred at around 02/2300Z from behind the northwest limb. An associated Type II radio sweep was observed with a shock speed of 658 km/s. Bright surging was observed on the west limb at 0830Z, which preceded another CME observed on LASCO imagery at 0950Z. The most impressive event of the period was a partial halo CME associated with a prominence eruption that began at around 03/1620Z. A Type II radio sweep (717 km/s) accompanied this CME. Much of the ejecta associated with this CME appeared to originate from behind the northwest limb.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. Very low levels are expected through 4 June. C-class activity is possible on 5 and 6 June with the return of old active regions.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 02-2100Z till 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed remains elevated near 500 km/s, but IMF Bz was predominantly northward. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels. There is a chance for isolated active periods at high latitudes through 4 June. The current weak coronal hole high speed stream is expected to subside by 5 June.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 04 Jun till 06 Jun
M-klass05%10%10%
X-klass01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observerad       03 Jun 090
  Prognoserat   04 Jun-06 Jun  090/095/095
  90 Day Mean        03 Jun 104
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
  Observerad Afr/Ap 02 Jun  009/011
  Förväntat     Afr/Ap 03 Jun  009/012
  Prognoserat    Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun  008/010-005/008-005/008
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 04 Jun till 06 Jun
A. Medelhöga breddgrader
Aktivt25%15%15%
Små stormförhållanden05%01%01%
Svåra stormförhållanden01%01%01%
B. Höga breddgrader
Aktivt30%20%20%
Små stormförhållanden10%05%05%
Svåra stormförhållanden05%01%01%

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