Viewing archive of fredag, 5 mars 2004
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2004 Mar 05 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 065 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 05 Mar 2004IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 04-2100Z till 05-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. New Region 570
(S13E84) produced several C-class flares today, the largest was a C6
x-ray event that occurred at 05/0912Z. Currently, a large
asymmetrical sunspot has emerged onto the visible disk and further
analysis of this region is pending. Region 567 (S12W42) underwent
no significant changes today and flare production was limited to
several B-class events. The largest was a B9 x-ray flare that
occurred at 05/0103Z. LASCO imagery does not depict any significant
CME activity associated with today's events. The remainder of the
disk was fairly quiescent today.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Region 567 exhibits the magnetic complexity
to produce isolated M-class flares.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 04-2100Z till 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron fluxes at geosynchronous orbit reached high
levels today.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels throughout
the period.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 06 Mar till 08 Mar
| M-klass | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| X-klass | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 05 Mar 107 Prognoserat 06 Mar-08 Mar 115/120/120 90 Day Mean 05 Mar 111
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 04 Mar 004/007 Förväntat Afr/Ap 05 Mar 004/008 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 06 Mar-08 Mar 005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 06 Mar till 08 Mar
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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