Viewing archive of söndag, 1 juni 2003
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2003 Jun 01 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 152 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 01 Jun 2003IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 31-2100Z till 01-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 365 (S07W84)
produced an M1/Sf flare at 01/1652 UTC as well as a few other
smaller flares during the past day. The most active sunspot group
has been new Region 375 (N11E74) which produced three M1 flares
during the reporting period: at 01/0306 UTC, 01/0711 UTC, and
01/1250 UTC. This region is just visible at the eastern limb as a
D-type sunspot group. More of the region is expected to come into
view by tomorrow.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate to high. M-class activity is expected from both 365, as it
departs the visible disk, and 375 as it comes into view. There
remains a slight chance of a major flare from either region.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 31-2100Z till 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with the possibility of isolated
minor storm periods for the duration of the three-day forecast
period. A high-speed coronal hole stream is expected to influence
activity by 03 June.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 02 Jun till 04 Jun
| M-klass | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| X-klass | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 01 Jun 112 Prognoserat 02 Jun-04 Jun 105/100/100 90 Day Mean 01 Jun 124
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 31 May 018/017 Förväntat Afr/Ap 01 Jun 018/018 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 02 Jun-04 Jun 018/020-020/030-020/030
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 02 Jun till 04 Jun
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
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