Viewing archive of torsdag, 12 september 2002
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2002 Sep 12 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 255 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 12 Sep 2002IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 11-2100Z till 12-2100Z Solar activity fell to low levels. The largest event
of the period was a C4/Sf flare at 12/0018 UTC from Region 107
(N11E16). Region 105 (S08E16) produced several lesser C-class
flares, including an apparent one in progress at the end of the
period. This region remains the largest on the visible disk. It's
easternmost spots still retain a beta-gamma-delta magnetic
configuration, while the western spot group appears to have lost
some complexity. Region 107 continues in a pattern of slow growth
and frequent flare production. Three new regions were numbered
today, all relatively small and simply structured at present.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate for the next three days. M-class activity appears
possible from Regions 105 and 107.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 11-2100Z till 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mainly unsettled to active. One isolated
quiet period was observed at mid-latitudes. Coronal hole high speed
stream effects continued to be the main source of activity.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active during the first day of the forecast
period, with a gradual reduction towards quiet to unsettled
conditions thereafter. Greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit may reach high levels during the period.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 13 Sep till 15 Sep
| M-klass | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| X-klass | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 12 Sep 212 Prognoserat 13 Sep-15 Sep 215/220/225 90 Day Mean 12 Sep 174
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 11 Sep 016/028 Förväntat Afr/Ap 12 Sep 013/015 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 13 Sep-15 Sep 012/012-012/012-008/012
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 13 Sep till 15 Sep
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
Senaste nytt
måndag, 13 maj 2024
M6.6 solar flare with earth-directed CME
söndag, 12 maj 2024
Small CME impact, Record visitor amount
lördag, 11 maj 2024
Strongest geomagnetic storm since 2003, X5.8 solar flare
Senaste inläggen
AR 3676 26May 2024 Geomagnetic Storms from AR 13664 (2) 285AR3664 856Space Weather Memes 354Could Cycle 25 be categorized as "historical"? 9
Fler foruminläggStöd SpaceWeatherLive.com!
För att vara tillgängliga vid stora norrskensutbrott måsta vi ha kraftiga servrar som kan hantera alla besökare. Donera och stöd vårt projekt, så att vi kan finnas online även under stora stormar!
Rymdvädersfakta
| Senaste X-utbrottet | 2024/05/12 | X1.02 |
| Senaste M-utbrottet | 2024/05/13 | M1.5 |
| Senaste geomagnetiska stormen | 2024/05/12 | Kp7 (G3) |
| Fläckfria dagar | |
|---|---|
| Senaste dag utan solfläckar | 2022/06/08 |
| Månadsvis faktiskt antal solfläckar | |
|---|---|
| april 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| maj 2024 | 144.3 +7.8 |
| Last 30 days | 176 +81.6 |