Viewing archive of fredag, 12 april 2002

Solaktivitetsrapport

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2002 Apr 12 2200 UTC
Skapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com

USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet

SDF Nummer 102 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 12 Apr 2002

IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 11-2100Z till 12-2100Z

Solar activity was at moderate levels. Region 9901 (N21W26) produced an M4/1F flare on 12/1802 UTC with an associated Type IV Radio Sweep. Region 9893 (N20W39) has developed a delta magnetic configuration in the trailing spot and has increased in area and spot count. LASCO/EIT imagery indicates that Region 9893 is the most likely source of an optically uncorrelated M1.4 flare that occurred on 12/1310 UTC. Region 9906 (S16E26) has shown rapid growth in spot count, area, and now has a beta-gamma magnetic configuration. This region also shows some indication of a developing delta magnetic configuration. As Region 9907 (S05E61) rotates onto the disk it has revealed a moderate size spot group and a beta-gamma magnetic classification. One new region was numbered today: Region 9908 (N05W25).
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be moderate. Region 9893/9901 complex has been active and has two delta configurations. The potential for M-class events is good. Region 9906 and 9907 are developing and have a slight chance of M-class events.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 11-2100Z till 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels with one 3 hour period of minor storm conditions. This isolated minor storm condition coincided with a sector boundary crossing. At the time of this issue the NASA/ACE EPAM data have shown a steady increase in low energy protons possibly due to expected CME shock.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active. A CME shock is expected midday on day one of the forecast period. A second shock expected midday on day two of the forecast period.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 13 Apr till 15 Apr
M-klass65%65%60%
X-klass10%10%10%
Proton10%10%05%
PCAFyellow
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observerad       12 Apr 212
  Prognoserat   13 Apr-15 Apr  210/210/205
  90 Day Mean        12 Apr 202
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
  Observerad Afr/Ap 11 Apr  010/013
  Förväntat     Afr/Ap 12 Apr  014/015
  Prognoserat    Afr/Ap 13 Apr-15 Apr  015/015-015/020-010/015
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 13 Apr till 15 Apr
A. Medelhöga breddgrader
Aktivt25%30%30%
Små stormförhållanden10%15%15%
Svåra stormförhållanden05%05%05%
B. Höga breddgrader
Aktivt25%30%30%
Små stormförhållanden10%15%15%
Svåra stormförhållanden05%05%05%

Gå till översikt idag

Senaste nytt

Stöd SpaceWeatherLive.com!

För att vara tillgängliga vid stora norrskensutbrott måsta vi ha kraftiga servrar som kan hantera alla besökare. Donera och stöd vårt projekt, så att vi kan finnas online även under stora stormar!

54%
Support SpaceWeatherLive with our merchandise
Check out our merchandise

Rymdvädersfakta

Senaste X-utbrottet2024/03/28X1.1
Senaste M-utbrottet2024/04/29M3.6
Senaste geomagnetiska stormen2024/04/26Kp5+ (G1)
Fläckfria dagar
Senaste dag utan solfläckar2022/06/08
Månadsvis faktiskt antal solfläckar
mars 2024104.9 -19.8
Last 30 days139 +32.6

I dag i historien*

Solutbrott
11998M9.27
22024M3.6
32024M2.5
41999M1.7
52003M1.69
ApG
1195658G4
2195287G3
3199159G3
4196055G2
5197359G2
*sedan 1994

Sociala medier