Viewing archive of måndag, 13 november 2000
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2000 Nov 13 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 318 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 13 Nov 2000IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 12-2100Z till 13-2100Z Solar activity has been low during the last 24 hours.
The largest flare event was a C2 at 1211Z which was not observed
optically. Region 9227 (S11W14) continues to grow slowly and
produced a C2/Sf flare at 1630Z. Two new regions rotated into view
today: Region 9231 (S23E72) and Region 9232 (N26E76). Both appear to
be moderate-sized D-type sunspot groups.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low. There is a slight chance for an isolated M-class
event from any of regions 9227, 9231, or 9232.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 12-2100Z till 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours. The solar wind continues to show a high-speed solar wind
stream, but the average interplanetary Bz magnetic field component
has been weakly positive. The greater than 10 MeV proton event that
began at 08/2350z and reached a maximum of 13,300 pfu at 09/1600Z
ended today at 13/0745Z. The flux of greater than 2 MeV electrons at
GOES has been at high levels.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled for the next two days and is
expected to be quiet to unsettled by the third day.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 14 Nov till 16 Nov
| M-klass | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 13 Nov 144 Prognoserat 14 Nov-16 Nov 145/145/145 90 Day Mean 13 Nov 171
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 12 Nov 020/021 Förväntat Afr/Ap 13 Nov 007/008 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 14 Nov-16 Nov 010/010-010/010-005/010
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 14 Nov till 16 Nov
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 30% | 25% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
Senaste nytt
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onsdag, 20 mars 2024
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