Viewing archive of tisdag, 7 november 2000
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2000 Nov 07 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 312 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 07 Nov 2000IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 06-2100Z till 07-2100Z Solar activity became moderate. Region 9213 (N02W64)
produced an M1/1f flare with minor centimetric bursts at 07/1207Z
and a C3/Sf flare at 07/0347Z. This region is a moderately sized "H"
type spot in white light, but appears slightly more complex in
today's magnetograms. Minor C-class flaring was also observed on the
west limb near Region 9210 (S26W80) and near what appears to be a
developing region near N15W85. New regions 9224 (N28W61) and 9225
(S19W16) were numbered today.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate through day one, but low during days two and three as
active longitudes rotate around the west limb.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 06-2100Z till 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm levels at mid
latitudes with mostly active to major storm levels at high
latitudes. This disturbance is associated with the 3 Nov CME that
was first detected at the ACE spacecraft at 06/0915Z.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active. The minor to major geomagnetic
storm, experienced over the past two days appears almost over.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 08 Nov till 10 Nov
| M-klass | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| X-klass | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 07 Nov 180 Prognoserat 08 Nov-10 Nov 180/175/170 90 Day Mean 07 Nov 173
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 06 Nov 028/042 Förväntat Afr/Ap 07 Nov 030/035 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov 010/020-010/010-010/010
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 08 Nov till 10 Nov
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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