Viewing archive of onsdag, 5 mars 1997
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 1997 Mar 05 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 064 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 05 MAR 1997IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 04-2100Z till 05-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. HOWEVER, SEVERAL
SMALL B-CLASS X-RAY BURSTS OCCURRED. IT IS LIKELY THESE BURSTS WERE
FROM A REGION ABOUT TO ROTATE ONTO THE DISK NEAR N04. ACTIVE SURGING
AND BRIGHT KNOTS OF H-ALPHA EMISSION WERE OBSERVED OVER THIS AREA.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN AT VERY
LOW LEVELS. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF C-CLASS EVENTS FROM THE REGION
BEYOND THE NORTHEAST LIMB. A BETTER ASSESSMENT OF FLARE POTENTIAL
CAN BE MADE ONCE THE SUNSPOT GROUP APPEARS.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 04-2100Z till 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET UNTIL NEAR 05/1630Z. AFTER THAT TIME,
GENERALLY UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED WITH ISOLATED
MINOR STORMING OBSERVED AT A FEW HIGH LATITUDE SITES. RECENT SOLAR
WIND DATA SHOW INCREASING DENSITY AND VELOCITY. THE SOURCE OF THIS
DISTURBANCE IS UNKNOWN. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES WERE HIGH FOR MOST
OF THE PERIOD BUT DROPPED TO MODERATE LEVELS AFTER 05/1930Z.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE
DAYS. ISOLATED ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING 06 MAR.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 06 MAR till 08 MAR
| M-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 05 MAR 075 Prognoserat 06 MAR-08 MAR 077/079/080 90 Day Mean 05 MAR 075
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 MAR 004/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 MAR 007/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 MAR-08 MAR 010/010-005/005-010/010
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 06 MAR till 08 MAR
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 10% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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