Viewing archive of torsdag, 29 augusti 1996
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 1996 Aug 29 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 242 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 29 AUG 1996IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 28-2100Z till 29-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 7986 (S12W00)
HAS EVOLVED INTO A TEN SPOT CSO GROUP, AND HAS REMAINED QUIET
SINCE GENERATING YESTERDAY'S C1/SF FLARE.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW, WITH A DECREASED 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED
C-CLASS X-RAY EVENT FROM REGION 7986.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 28-2100Z till 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY UNSETTLED TO MINOR
STORM LEVELS AT MIDDLE LATITUDES, AND UNSETTLED TO MAJOR
STORM LEVELS AT HIGH LATITUDES DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
THIS INCREASED ACTIVITY IS BELIEVED TOL HOLE. SOLAR WIND DATA RECEIVE
D TODAY FROM THE WIND
SPACECRAFT REVEALED VELOCITIES IN EXCESS OF 600 KM/S AND
DENSITIES IN THE 4-6 P/CC RANGE. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRONS CONTINUE TO FLUCTUATE IN THE MODERATE TO HIGH
RANGE.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS,
WITH A HIGH PROBABILITY FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF MINOR AND
MAJOR STORMING, AND THEN REVERTING BACK TO MOSTLY UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 30 AUG till 01 SEP
| M-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 29 AUG 074 Prognoserat 30 AUG-01 SEP 075/074/074 90 Day Mean 29 AUG 071
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 AUG 017/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 AUG 023/030 PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 AUG-01 SEP 020/020-015/020-010/015
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 30 AUG till 01 SEP
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 60% | 30% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 60% | 30% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 30% | 15% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 10% | 10% | 05% |
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