Просмотр архива за пятница, 9 сентября 2005
Отчет о солнечной активности
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Отчет о солнечно-геофизической активности 2005 Sep 10 0521 UTCПодготовлено NOAA © SWPC и представлено SpaceWeatherLive.com
Совместный отчет USAF/NOAA о солнечной и геофизической активности
Количество SD 252 на уровне 2200Z 09 Sep 2005IA. Анализ активных солнечных регионов и активности от 08 - 2100Z до 09 - 2100Z Solar activity increased to very high levels. Region
808 (S09E54) continues to be very active and produced five major
flares today. Major flare activity is listed in chronological
order: an X5/2b event at 08/2106Z, an X1 at 09/0300Z, an M6/1f at
09/0548Z, an X3 at 09/0959Z, and a long duration X6/2b at 09/2004Z
which had associated Type IV and Type II (estimated shock velocity
of 959 km/sec) radio sweeps. Region 808 is an extremely complex
and compact spot group exceeding 1400 millionths of white light
area. Magnetic analysis clearly depicts a very strong
beta-gamma-delta configuration. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Прогноз солнечной активности
Solar activity is expected to be at
high to very high levels. Region 808 will continue to produce major
flare activity.
IIA. Обзор геофизической активности от 08 - 2100Z до 09 - 2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels today.
The CME associated with the X17 event on 07 September was observed
at the ACE spacecraft at approximately 09/1315Z. This was followed
by a 30 nT sudden impulse at the Boulder magnetometer at 09/1359Z.
The greater than 10 MeV proton event that began at 08/0215Z was
further enhanced today. The current peak flux is 465 pfu which
occurred at 09/2000Z. The greater than 100 MeV proton event that
began at 08/0405Z was also further enhanced today and was just under
8 pfu at 09/1920Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Прогноз геофизической активности
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to major storm levels. Isolated
minor storm conditions are expected on 10 September due to ongoing
transient flow. CME activity associated with today's flares is
expected to become geoeffective on 11 September and produce active
to minor storm levels with isolated major storm periods possible.
The greater than 10 MeV proton event currently in progress is
expected to continue through the next three days. The greater
than 100 MeV proton event now in progress is expected to continue
through 11 September. Today's X6/2b flare may enhance the existing
proton events.
III. Вероятность события от 10 - Sep до 12 - Sep
| M-класс | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| X-класс | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Протон | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| PCAF | in progress | ||
IV. Радиоизлучение λ = 10,7см
Наблюдаемый 09 Sep 099 Прогнозируемый 10 Sep-12 Sep 100/100/105 среднее значение за последние 3 месяца 09 Sep 091
V. Геомагнитные индексы
Наблюдаемый Afr/Ap 08 Sep 005/008 По оценкам Afr/Ap 09 Sep 012/025 Прогнозируемый Afr/Ap 10 Sep-12 Sep 015/020-020/025-015/020
VI. Вероятность геомагнитной активности с 10 - Sep до 12 - Sep
| A. Средние широты | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Активно | 35% | 40% | 35% |
| Слабый шторм | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Большой шторм | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| B. Высокие широты | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Активно | 40% | 45% | 40% |
| Слабый шторм | 20% | 35% | 20% |
| Большой шторм | 15% | 20% | 15% |
<< Перейти на сегодняшнюю страницу обзора
Последние новости
понедельник, 22 апреля 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
суббота, 23 марта 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
среда, 20 марта 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Последние сообщения с форума
Unproven theories 349AR3654 30Growth of Cycle 25 435Unspecified geomagnetic activity 954Changelog/Featurelog 154
Больше темПоддержка SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Большое количество посетителей приходят на сайт SpaceWeatherLive, чтобы получить информацию о состоянии Солнца, его активности или возможном появлении полярного сияния. Однако с увеличением трафика растет и стоимость хостинга. Если вы находите наш сайт SpaceWeatherLive.com полезным, пожалуйста, подумайте о пожертвовании на его содержание и поддержку!
Факты о космической погоде
| Последняя X-вспышка | 28/03/2024 | X1.1 |
| Последняя M-вспышка | 29/04/2024 | M3.6 |
| Последняя геомагнитная буря | 26/04/2024 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Безупречные дни | |
|---|---|
| Последний безупречный день | 08/06/2022 |
| Среднемесячное количество солнечных пятен | |
|---|---|
| марта 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 139 +32.6 |