Vaata neljapäev, 27 märts 2003 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2003 Mar 27 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 086 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 27 Mar 2003IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 26-2100Z kuni 27-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. Region 322 (N19,
L=348) produced the two largest flares of the period, a C3.6 x-ray
flare at 27/0945Z and a C2.3 x-ray flare at 27/1455Z (both correlated
using SXI imagery). Region 321 (N05E34) has become a
beta-gamma-delta (weak) region which produced several low-level
flares during the period. Region 319 (N13W01) has shown rapid
development and has become a beta-gamma class group over the past 24
hours. Newly assigned Region 325 (N12E80-old Region 296) has begun
to rotate into view and was a large complex region on its previous
rotation. New Region 324 (S16E68) was also assigned today.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. Regions 319 and 321 have the potential of producing
M-class flare activity
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 26-2100Z kuni 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. The
Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field ranged from +/- 10
nT throughout the period due to a recurrent high speed stream
(approximately 525 km/s at the time of this writing). The greater
than 2 MeV electron fluxes at geosynchronous orbit reached moderate
levels today.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly active levels. Minor storm
conditions are possible through day one of the interval due to a
favorably positioned recurrent coronal hole. Days two and three
should see a return to predominantly unsettled levels with
intermittent active conditions.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 28 Markuni 30 Mar
| Klass M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Klass X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Prooton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 27 Mar 141 Prognoositud 28 Mar-30 Mar 150/155/155 90 päeva keskmine 27 Mar 132
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 26 Mar 007/008 Hinnanguline Afr/Ap 27 Mar 020/025 Prognoositud Afr/Ap 28 Mar-30 Mar 012/015-010/012-010/012
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 28 Mar kuni 30 Mar
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Väike torm | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Väike torm | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 10% | 05% | 05% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
kolmapäev, 20 märts 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Viimane foorumi postitus
What are these long and thin eruptions? 9Unspecified geomagnetic activity 947IMF - BT strength 8AR3654 1AR 3637, 3638, 3643 89
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2024 | X1.1 |
| Viimane M-loide | 25/04/2024 | M1.3 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 26/04/2024 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| märts 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 136.2 +28 |