Vaata esmaspäev, 24 september 2001 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2001 Sep 24 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 267 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 24 Sep 2001IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 23-2100Z kuni 24-2100Z Solar activity was high. Region 9632 (S19E19) produced
an X2/2b flare at 1038 UTC. Significant discrete frequency radio
bursts (i.e., 7500 sfu at 2695 MHz) accompanied the event, as well
as a Type IV sweep which lasted for many hours. A full halo coronal
mass ejection was seen by SOHO/LASCO. This region remains bright in
H-alpha and still shows mixed polarities in its largest spot.
Elsewhere on the disk occasional small flares occurred from a number
of the 15 spotted regions visible. Two new regions were assigned,
Region 9636 (N12E65) and Region 9637 (S14E71).
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate to high. Region 9632 is still a threat to produce
additional M and X class activity.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 23-2100Z kuni 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Satellite proton events
at greater than 10 and greater than 100 MeV began shortly after the
X2/2b flare. The greater than 10 MeV protons crossed threshold at
1215 UTC, and reached a tentative maximum of 1,020 pfu at 2040 UTC.
The greater than 100 MeV event began at 1440 UTC and attained its
tentative maximum of 10.6 pfu at 2020 UTC. Neither trace is
declining at this writing. In addition a Polar Cap Absorption event
began at 1315 UTC, and registered a peak value of 9.0 dB of
absorption at 30 MHz at approximately 1935 UTC.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at major to severe storm levels beginning early on 26
September. The cme/flare event of earlier today is expected to spawn
a strong disturbance expected to persist for 48 hours. The proton
events currently occurring are likely to continue for the next 24
hours. The Polar Cap Absorption is expected to continue throughout
the day on 25 September.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 25 Sepkuni 27 Sep
| Klass M | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Klass X | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Prooton | 99% | 50% | 30% |
| PCAF | in progress | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 24 Sep 279 Prognoositud 25 Sep-27 Sep 285/290/285 90 päeva keskmine 24 Sep 168
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 23 Sep 018/027 Hinnanguline Afr/Ap 24 Sep 010/012 Prognoositud Afr/Ap 25 Sep-27 Sep 015/020-080/100-040/040
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 25 Sep kuni 27 Sep
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 30% | 05% | 10% |
| Väike torm | 15% | 25% | 50% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 65% | 25% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 40% | 05% | 10% |
| Väike torm | 20% | 25% | 40% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 10% | 70% | 40% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
kolmapäev, 20 märts 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Viimane foorumi postitus
What are these long and thin eruptions? 9Unspecified geomagnetic activity 947IMF - BT strength 8AR3654 1AR 3637, 3638, 3643 89
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2024 | X1.1 |
| Viimane M-loide | 25/04/2024 | M1.3 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 26/04/2024 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| märts 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 136.2 +28 |