Viendo archivo del martes, 31 julio 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jul 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 213 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Jul 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest of the C-class
flares were an impulsive C6 at 31/0000Z from new Region 1538
(S23E68) and a long-duration C5 at 31/1130Z from Region 1535
(N18E51). Both flares had associated Type II (estimated speeds of
730 and 880 km/s, respectively) and Type IV radio sweeps along with
coronal mass ejections seen off the East limb in SOHO/LASCO C2
imagery. Another CME was observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery off the
southwest limb associated with a filament eruption seen in SDO/AIA
171 imagery at 31/0846Z. None of the CMEs are expected to be
geoeffective. New Region 1537 (N12E76) rotated onto the northeast
limb and was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on day 1 (01 August). On day 2 (02
August), geomagnetic activity is expected to be at quiet to
unsettled levels with possible isolated active periods due to
effects from the 28 July CME. Conditions are expected to be quiet
to unsettled on day 3 (03 August).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Aug a 03 Aug
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Jul 140 Previsto 01 Aug-03 Aug 140/145/150 Media de 90 Días 31 Jul 126
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Jul 011/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Jul 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Aug-03 Aug 006/005-008/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Aug a 03 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 30% | 20% |
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