Viendo archivo del domingo, 22 julio 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jul 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 204 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jul 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. Region 1526 (S18E39) produced the largest event of the
period, a C1 x-ray flare at 21/2324Z. The other regions on the disk
remained stable and quiet. Two new, yet to be numbered regions,
rotated onto the visible disk early in the period. Both regions
appear to have sunspots, however SWPC forecasters are awaiting more
data.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels with a chance for C-class events for the next three
days (23-25 July).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the
past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated active
periods for the next three days (23-25 July), as a coronal hole high
speed stream becomes geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jul a 25 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jul 094 Previsto 23 Jul-25 Jul 095/100/105 Media de 90 Días 22 Jul 126
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jul 008/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jul 009/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jul-25 Jul 013/015-012/012-009/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jul a 25 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 35% | 35% | 25% |
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