Viendo archivo del jueves, 24 mayo 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 May 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 145 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 May 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was low. A few nominal C-class flares
were observed during the period. New Region 1490 (S12E58) was
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low during the period (25-27 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was mostly quiet, with the exception of an
isolated unsettled period overnight between 24/03-06Z. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on day 1 (25 May). A weak enhancement in
activity of unsettled to active conditions is possible on day 2 (26
May) as the result of CME effects from the event on 22 May.
Conditions are expected to return to mostly quiet for day 3 (27
May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 May a 27 May
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 May 116 Previsto 25 May-27 May 115/110/110 Media de 90 Días 24 May 116
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 May 013/019 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 May 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 May-27 May 006/005-007/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 May a 27 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 20% | 10% |
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