Viendo archivo del domingo, 1 enero 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jan 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 001 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Jan 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was low. One C3/Sf flare was observed
at 01/0734Z from Region 1389 (S22E17). This region diminished in
spot count and magnetic complexity over the past 24 hours. The
remaining regions were stable. The 10cm solar flux was estimated.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low,
with a slight chance for an M-class event for the next three days
(01-03 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Hourly averages of solar wind speed
at the ACE spacecraft were about 360 km/s while Bz was near -2 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain mostly quiet with a slight chance for unsettled
conditions for the next three days (02-04 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Jan a 04 Jan
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Jan 130 Previsto 02 Jan-04 Jan 135/135/135 Media de 90 Días 01 Jan 144
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Dec 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Jan 000/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Jan-04 Jan 006/005-006/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Jan a 04 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 10% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 20 marzo 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Últimos mensajes del foro
AR3654 1IMF - BT strength 5What are these long and thin eruptions? 6AR 3637, 3638, 3643 89Unproven theories 341
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/04/25 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/04/19 | Kp7 (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 135.5 +27.6 |