Viendo archivo del lunes, 5 diciembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Dec 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 339 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Dec 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. The largest event of the period was a C4 x-ray flare at
05/1518Z from Region 1363 (S21W09). Region 1363 continues to grow in
size and areal coverage but has lost some of its magnetic
complexity (beta-gamma). Three coronal mass ejections were observed
during the period but none appear to have an Earth directed
component.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels with a chance for M-class flares for the next three days
(06-08 December).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at predominantly quiet levels for the
past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at mostly quiet levels for the next three days
(06-08 December).
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Dec a 08 Dec
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Dec 158 Previsto 06 Dec-08 Dec 160/160/155 Media de 90 Días 05 Dec 144
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Dec 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Dec 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Dec-08 Dec 004/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Dec a 08 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 02% | 02% | 02% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 00% | 00% | 00% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Tormenta Menor | 09% | 09% | 09% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 03% | 03% | 03% |
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