Viendo archivo del miércoles, 30 noviembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Nov 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 334 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Nov 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest event was a C3
flare that occurred at 30/2028Z from Region 1364 (S17E60). Growth
was observed in Regions 1361 (N18W06) and 1362 (N06E36). A coronal
mass ejection (CME) was observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery at
29/2312Z. The event was seen in STEREO B COR 2 imagery at 30/0110Z
and determined to be a farside event.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at low levels with a slight chance for an M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field reached quiet to active conditions with minor
and major storm periods observed at high latitudes. Activity was
attributed to a solar sector boundary crossing (SSBC) at
approximately 30/0810Z followed by a prolonged period of southward
Bz in the interplanetary magnetic field.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (01-03
December). There is still a possibility of coronal hole high speed
stream effects from the southern polar extension coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Dec a 03 Dec
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Nov 144 Previsto 01 Dec-03 Dec 145/140/135 Media de 90 Días 30 Nov 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Nov 009/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Nov 008/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Dec-03 Dec 008/008-007/008-006/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Dec a 03 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 08% | 08% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 02% | 02% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 00% | 00% | 00% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 16% | 15% | 13% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 11% | 08% | 07% |
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