Viendo archivo del lunes, 7 noviembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Nov 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 311 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Nov 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was low. Only low to mid-level C-class
activity was observed from both Regions 1338 (S13W12) and 1339
(N18E05). Both regions exhibited some growth in area and spot count
with Region 1338 developing a Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration.
There were no Earth-directed CMEs observed during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate during the period (08 - 10 November) with a slight chance
for high activity (M5 or higher) from Region 1339. There is also a
slight chance for a proton flare from this region during the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Solar wind
speeds ranged between 300 to 375 km/s while the Bz component of the
interplanetary magnetic field did not vary much beyond +/- 5 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels during the period (08 - 10 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Nov a 10 Nov
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Nov 182 Previsto 08 Nov-10 Nov 180/180/180 Media de 90 Días 07 Nov 129
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Nov 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Nov 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Nov a 10 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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