Viendo archivo del lunes, 31 octubre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Oct 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 304 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Oct 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity was moderate during the period. A new
region that has not yet emerged around the east limb produced a pair
of M1 flares at 31/1508Z and 31/1808Z. A CME associated with the
first of the two events was visible in NASA SOHO LASCO C2 imagery as
well as on STEREO A, but appears not be a Earth directed trajectory.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is forecast to moderate
with M-class flares likely to reoccur over the next 3 days (1-3
November).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the period as
waning CH HSS effects lingered.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
forecast to be mostly quiet for the next 3 days (1-3 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Nov a 03 Nov
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Oct 138 Previsto 01 Nov-03 Nov 140/145/145 Media de 90 Días 31 Oct 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Oct 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Oct 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Nov-03 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Nov a 03 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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