Viendo archivo del martes, 24 agosto 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Aug 24 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 236 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Aug 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. No flares were observed during the period. New Region 1101
(N12E79) was numbered today and is magnetically classified as an
alpha group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels for the next three days (25-27 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to active levels for the
past 24 hours. The increased activity was associated with a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) moving into
geoeffective position. ACE solar wind readings indicated an enhanced
interplanetary field (IMF) intensity (peak 22 nT at 2241Z) combined
with intermittent periods of southward IMF Bz (maximum deflection
-14 nT at 0104Z) with an increase in velocities from 358 km/s to 709
km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels on day one (25 August),
at mostly unsettled levels on day two (26 August), and at quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (27 August) as the effects of the CH
HSS subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Aug a 27 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Aug 074 Previsto 25 Aug-27 Aug 074/075/075 Media de 90 Días 24 Aug 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Aug 005/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Aug 013/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Aug-27 Aug 015/015-010/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Aug a 27 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
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