Viendo archivo del martes, 22 diciembre 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Dec 22 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 356 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Dec 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 1036 (S27W58) produced a C7/Sf flare at 22/0456Z associated with a Type II radio sweep (estimated velocity 531 km/sec) and discrete frequency radio bursts, the largest of which was 4900 sfu at 245 MHz. There was also a faint, slow-moving partial-halo coronal mass ejection (CME) associated with the flare (estimated velocity 300 km/sec). Region 1036 gradually decayed from a D-type to a B-type spot group during the period. Additional isolated low-level C-class flares and occasional B-class flares also occurred during the period. Region 1035 (N31W98) crossed the west limb early in the period. No new regions were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low during days 1 - 2 (23 - 24 December) with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare. Activity is expected to drop to very low levels on day 3 (25 December) as Region 1036 departs the west limb.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels through the period (23 - 25 December). The CME mentioned above is not expected to significantly disturb the field.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Dec a 25 Dec
Clase M10%10%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       22 Dec 082
  Previsto   23 Dec-25 Dec  078/076/074
  Media de 90 Días        22 Dec 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 21 Dec  001/001
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 22 Dec  001/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 23 Dec-25 Dec  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Dec a 25 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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