Viendo archivo del domingo, 15 junio 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jun 15 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 167 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Jun 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at mostly unsettled to minor storm levels.
Solar wind signatures indicating a co-rotating interaction region
followed by the onset of a coronal hole high speed stream were
observed by the ACE spacecraft. Wind speed reached a maximum of
about 700 km/s at 15/1610Z. The interplanetary magnetic field Bz
component ranged between +/- 13 nT during the early part of the
summary period; for the remainder of the period Bz ranged between
+/-6 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels on day one (16 June),
with a chance for minor storm conditions possible due to the coronal
hole high speed stream. On days two and three (17 and 18 June)
expect activity levels to decrease to mostly unsettled levels with a
chance for active periods as the high speed stream continues to be
geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Jun a 18 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Jun 067 Previsto 16 Jun-18 Jun 067/067/067 Media de 90 Días 15 Jun 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Jun 016/016 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Jun 018/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Jun-18 Jun 015/015-012/012-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Jun a 18 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
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