Viendo archivo del lunes, 19 mayo 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 May 19 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 140 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 May 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Regions 994 (S12W36) and
996 (N09E18) have not produced any flare activity this period. Both
regions have a Bxo Beta magnetic classification.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Solar wind
observations from the Ace Spacecraft have shown a steady increase in
velocity from around 340 km/s to 400 km/s in the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with minor storm conditions at
high latitudes on day one (20 May). Activity is expected due to a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected on days two and three ( 21 - 22 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 May a 22 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 May 069 Previsto 20 May-22 May 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 19 May 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 May 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 May 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 May-22 May 020/030-010/015-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 May a 22 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 00% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
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