Viendo archivo del martes, 22 abril 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Apr 22 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 113 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Apr 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. New Region 992 (N13W01) emerged today as a small,
C-type sunspot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (23-25 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet from the beginning of the period
through about 1500Z. Since then activity has been unsettled.
Real-time solar wind data from ACE indicate a possible solar sector
boundary from 'away' orientation (positive) to 'towards' orientation
(negative) at about 1410Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled with a chance for isolated active
periods for the first and second days (23-24 April). The elevated
activity is expected in response to a coronal hole which should be
in a favorable position on those days. Activity is expected to
decline to quiet to unsettled for the third day (25 April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Apr a 25 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Apr 071 Previsto 23 Apr-25 Apr 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 22 Apr 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Apr 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Apr 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Apr-25 Apr 012/015-012/012-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Apr a 25 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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