Viendo archivo del lunes, 21 mayo 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 May 21 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 141 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 May 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 956 (N03W32) is
decaying but continues to produce occasional B-class flares.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels. There is slight chance for a C-class flare from
Region 956.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet with isolated unsettled periods. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels. A weak CME
observed on 19 May may produce isolated unsettled to active periods
on 22 May. A high speed coronal hole stream will rotate into a
geoeffective position on 24 May and produce occasional active to
minor storm periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 May a 24 May
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 May 073 Previsto 22 May-24 May 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 21 May 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 May 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 May 005/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 May-24 May 005/008-005/005-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 May a 24 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
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