Viendo archivo del lunes, 20 febrero 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Feb 20 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 051 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Feb 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. No significant
activity was noted again today. The visible disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to major storm levels. An
enhancement of the solar wind speed occurred near 20/1000Z (400
km/sec to 550/ km/sec) due to a geoeffective coronal hole. A brief
period of major storm levels occurred at higher latitudes between
20/1500 and 1800Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to active levels on 21 and 22 February, due
to a favorably positioned coronal hole. Quiet to unsettled levels
are expected on 23 February as the coronal hole wanes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Feb a 23 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Feb 076 Previsto 21 Feb-23 Feb 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 20 Feb 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Feb 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Feb 015/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Feb-23 Feb 010/015-012/020-008/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Feb a 23 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 15% | 05% |
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