Viendo archivo del lunes, 25 abril 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Apr 25 2210 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 115 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Apr 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z

Solar activity continues at very low levels. New Region 756 (S06E68) is rotating into view on the southeast limb. Although this region's close proximity to the limb is hindering the analysis, it does appear to be a moderate size sunspot group, with initial measurements of over 400 millionths in white light area. The CME activity on 22 April may have been associated with this region; however, activity in the past 48 hours was limited to occasional B-class flares. No other activity of note occurred this period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. Region 756 has the potential to produce C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods at high latitudes. The weak high speed stream in progress since 23 April is declining. Solar wind speed ended the period at around 480 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Apr a 28 Apr
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       25 Apr 086
  Previsto   26 Apr-28 Apr  090/100/100
  Media de 90 Días        25 Apr 090
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 24 Apr  005/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 25 Apr  008/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 26 Apr-28 Apr  005/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Apr a 28 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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