Viendo archivo del miércoles, 26 noviembre 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Nov 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 330 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Nov 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was low. Occasional low C-class flares
were observed in Region 508 (S18W18). This region continues to
exhibit some complexity while undergoing slow decay. Region 501
(N04, L=004) has quietly rotated around the west limb. Region 507
(N08W30) maintains considerable size and still appears to contain a
weak delta configuration; however, activity in this region remains
very low. New Region 513 (N09E71) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Though diminished greatly in size and complexity,
Region 508 still maintains potential for an isolated M-class event.
An M-class flare is also possible from Region 507.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed
remains elevated, but is in gradual decline. The greater than 2MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated active
periods are possible at higher latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Nov a 29 Nov
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Nov 171 Previsto 27 Nov-29 Nov 170/165/160 Media de 90 Días 26 Nov 134
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Nov 009/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Nov 007/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Nov-29 Nov 008/010-008/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Nov a 29 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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