Viendo archivo del domingo, 28 octubre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Oct 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 301 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Oct 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. Region 9682 (N12E32)
produced three M-class events during the period. Regions 9672
(S18W67) and 9678 (N07W21) are both complex regions and possess a
beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. Region 9684 (N06E69) has
more than tripled its area since yesterday and now has an area
coverage of 510 millionths with ten spots visible.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. An isolated major flare is possible from Regions 9672,
9678 and 9682.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to major storm conditions. A
shock passed the ACE spacecraft at 28/0242 UTC and created a sudden
impulse of 33 nt at the Earth at 28/0318 UTC. This shock is
believed to be associated with the CME from 25 October.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active conditions are
possible for 29 October.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Oct a 31 Oct
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Protón | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Oct 227 Previsto 29 Oct-31 Oct 230/230/225 Media de 90 Días 28 Oct 200
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Oct 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Oct 035/035 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Oct-31 Oct 012/015-010/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Oct a 31 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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