Viendo archivo del miércoles, 18 julio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jul 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 199 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Jul 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest event of the
period was an optically uncorrelated C3 flare. Although there are
thirteen numbered regions on the disk, none of them show any
outstanding complexity. Region 9539 (S19W58), which has been the
most active and complex region for the last 5 days, decayed
dramatically. New Regions 9547 (S16W22), 9548 (N17E50), 9549
(S04E57), and 9550 (N08E38) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet with occasional unsettled conditions
at high latitudes.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet to unsettled. Isolated active
periods are possible due to the effects of a recurrent coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Jul a 21 Jul
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Jul 143 Previsto 19 Jul-21 Jul 145/145/140 Media de 90 Días 18 Jul 159
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Jul 011/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Jul 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Jul-21 Jul 010/010-010/012-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Jul a 21 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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