Viendo archivo del viernes, 22 junio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 173 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jun 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest event was a C6/Sn
event at 22/1828 UTC from Region 9511 (N10E25). Regions 9503
(N17W46). 9504 (N09W42), and 9509 (S09W45) all produced minor
activity during the period. The rest of the sun was mostly quiet and
stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
mostly low to moderate levels. Isolated M-class flares are possible
during the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled conditions. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux may again reach high levels during the first half
of the forecast period and then is expected to return to moderate to
normal levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jun a 25 Jun
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jun 204 Previsto 23 Jun-25 Jun 205/200/195 Media de 90 Días 22 Jun 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jun 011/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jun 010/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jun-25 Jun 008/010-008/010-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jun a 25 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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