Viendo archivo del domingo, 10 junio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 161 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Jun 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was low. Frequent C-class flares were
observed. Region 9494 (S08W57) produced most of the activity
including the largest event of the period - a C9/Sf at 10/0104Z.
This region developed more size and complexity during the last 24
hours, with a weak delta configuration becoming obvious by
mid-period. Slow growth was also observed in Region 9489 (N18W17)
which produced isolated C-class flares in a beta-gamma
configuration. Minor C-class flares were also observed in Region
9487 (N21W30) and Region 9493 (N06E25). New regions 9497 (S10E27)
and 9498 (N22E58) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 9494 has a good chance of producing an M-class
flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels. These
disturbed conditions are a result of a high speed stream that is now
tapering off.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active periods are
likely at high latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Jun a 13 Jun
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Jun 163 Previsto 11 Jun-13 Jun 170/170/170 Media de 90 Días 10 Jun 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Jun 019/020 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Jun 020/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Jun-13 Jun 012/012-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Jun a 13 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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