Viendo archivo del sábado, 11 noviembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Nov 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 316 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Nov 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity was low. There were two C-class flares
produced during the past 24 hours. The first was a C2/Sf at 0012Z
from Region 9218 (N21W90+), and the second was a C2 which was not
reported optically. An examination of SOHO/EIT images during the
second event strongly suggest that it also originated from Region
9218. Region 9221 (S12W20) showed some magnetic flux development in
the leader part of the group and Region 9227 (S12E12) displayed new
spot growth just behind the leader spot. All regions currently on
the disk are quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low for the next three days, but there is a slight
chance for an isolated M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours. Solar wind measurements from ACE indicate the onset of a
high-speed, low density flow that is consistent with a favorably
positioned solar coronal hole. The interplanetary magnetic field,
however, has been either northwards or has been fluctuating weakly
between -3 nT and +5 nT, and the geomagnetic response so far has
been weak. The proton event at greater than 100 MeV ended at 0240Z
today (based on GOES-8 flux dropping below 1 pfu). The greater than
10 MeV protons decreased during the past 24 hours but continue to be
above the event threshold of 10 pfu, with a current value at 2100Z
of 23.6 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active during the next 24 hours due to
possible enhanced activity from the high speed solar wind stream. A
decline to mostly unsettled is expected for the second and third
days. The greater than 10 MeV proton event is expected to end
sometime during the next 24 hours.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Nov a 14 Nov
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 99% | 30% | 05% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Nov 150 Previsto 12 Nov-14 Nov 150/145/140 Media de 90 Días 11 Nov 172
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Nov 029/041 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Nov 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Nov-14 Nov 015/020-012/015-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Nov a 14 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 15% | 10% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 20 marzo 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Últimos mensajes del foro
Unspecified geomagnetic activity 946IMF - BT strength 8AR3654 1What are these long and thin eruptions? 6AR 3637, 3638, 3643 89
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/04/25 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/04/19 | Kp7 (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 135.5 +27.6 |