Viendo archivo del domingo, 27 agosto 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Aug 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 240 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 AUG 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 9144 (N22W12) PRODUCED
AN C3/1N EVENT AT 26/2216Z A LARGE FILAMENT DISAPPEARED NEAR N30W36
AROUND 27/0545Z. REGION 9140 (N09W01) PRODUCED A LONG DURATION
C1/SF EVENT AT 27/1208Z. THE LARGEST EVENT WAS A C6/SF AT 27/1740Z
FROM REGION 9143 (S20E33). THIS REGION HAS SHOWN MODERATE GROWTH IN
AREA AND SPOTS SINCE YESTERDAY AND IS CURRENTLY 290 MILLIONTHS IN
WHITE LIGHT WITH 12 SPOTS. TWO NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED TODAY AS
REGION 9145 (S10E60) AND 9146 (S26E51).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD. REGIONS 9143 AND 9144 ARE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING AN ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENT.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 26/2100Z TO 27/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS WITH
ISOLATED ACTIVE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 AUG a 30 AUG
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 AUG 150 Previsto 28 AUG-30 AUG 160/165/170 Media de 90 Días 27 AUG 181
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 26 AUG 004/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 27 AUG 008/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 28 AUG-30 AUG 008/012-010/015-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 AUG a 30 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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