Viendo archivo del jueves, 24 agosto 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Aug 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 237 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 AUG 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED AT A LOW LEVEL. THE LARGEST
EVENT OF THE PERIOD WAS AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED C6 AT 24/0917Z.
EUV IMAGERY INDICATE THIS EVENT ORIGINATED FROM BEHIND THE NORTHWEST
LIMB WHERE REGION 9125 COMPLETED WEST LIMB TRANSIT ON 23 AUGUST.
REGION 9131 (N14W72) GREW DURING THE PERIOD. TWO SMALL REGIONS
ROTATED AROUND THE EAST LIMB AT N16E71 AND S18E70 AND WERE NUMBERED
AS NEW REGIONS 9142 AND 9143 RESPECTIVELY. REGION 9143 IS THE
LARGER OF THE TWO AND PRODUCED INFREQUENT SUBFLARES.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT A
LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THERE IS A SLIGHTLY INCREASED
POSSIBILITY OF A LOW LEVEL M-CLASS EVENT DURING THAT TIME.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 23/2100Z TO 24/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ISOLATED
ACTIVE CONDITIONS OCCURRED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD
REMAIN PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS ARE POSSIBLE ON 25 AUGUST.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 AUG a 27 AUG
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 AUG 131 Previsto 25 AUG-27 AUG 128/128/130 Media de 90 Días 24 AUG 182
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 AUG 005/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 AUG 010/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 AUG-27 AUG 010/010-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 AUG a 27 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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