Viendo archivo del miércoles, 23 agosto 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Aug 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 236 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 AUG 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. OCCASIONAL LOW LEVEL C-CLASS
EVENTS OCCURRED. CURRENT DISK REGIONS ARE SMALL AND EXHIBITED ONLY
MINOR EVOLUTION. THE EAST LIMB WAS QUIET.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE LOW FOR THE
NEXT THREE DAYS. ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS ARE POSSIBLE.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 22/2100Z TO 23/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET UNTIL THE 23/0900-1800Z TIME PERIOD.
UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS WERE OBSERVED DURING THAT TIME. QUIET
RETURNED FOR THE 23/1800-2100Z PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR 24-25 AUGUST
WITH ISOLATED ACTIVE LEVELS POSSIBLE. MOSTLY QUIET CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST FOR 26 AUGUST.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 AUG a 26 AUG
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 AUG 137 Previsto 24 AUG-26 AUG 134/132/132 Media de 90 Días 23 AUG 182
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 22 AUG 003/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 AUG 008/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 AUG-26 AUG 010/012-010/010-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 AUG a 26 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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