Viendo archivo del lunes, 24 abril 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Apr 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 115 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 APR 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. OCCASIONAL C-CLASS FLARES
OCCURRED, PRIMARILY FROM REGIONS 8971 (N18E28) AND 8972 (N34W34).
REGION 8971 IS A LARGE, COMPLEX GROUP, AND 8972 HAS A DEGREE OF
MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY AS WELL. REGION 8970 (S15E30), THE LARGEST ON
THE DISK AT OVER 1000 MILLIONTHS, HAS BEEN QUIET.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. REGIONS 8970, 8971, AND 8972 ALL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR
M-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET TO MINOR STORM LEVELS. A TRANSIENT
WAS SEEN TO PASS THE ACE SPACECRAFT AROUND 0400Z, BRINGING WITH IT
ENHANCED SOLAR WIND PARAMETERS. ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM CONDITIONS
OCCURRED SHORTLY THEREAFTER, THEN SUBSIDING TO MORE NORMAL (BUT
SLIGHTLY ENHANCED) LEVELS BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE ON 25 APRIL, AND STRICTLY
UNSETTLED THE LAST TWO DAYS OF THE INTERVAL.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 APR a 27 APR
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 APR 206 Previsto 25 APR-27 APR 210/210/215 Media de 90 Días 24 APR 186
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 APR 004/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 APR 015/025 PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 APR-27 APR 015/018-010/015-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 APR a 27 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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