Viendo archivo del domingo, 23 abril 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Apr 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 114 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 APR 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8971 (N18E41) PRODUCED
THE LARGEST FLARE, A C7/1N AT 22/2354UT. THIS REGION IS GROWING IN
SUNSPOT AREA AND MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY. REGION 8970 (S15E43) IS THE
LARGEST AND MOST COMPLEX SUNSPOT GROUP ON THE DISK AND HAS PRODUCED
SEVERAL SMALL SUBFLARES. REGIONS 8966 (S13W06), 8967 (N22E09), AND
8972 (N34W21) ALSO GENERATED SMALL FLARES. NEW REGIONS 8974 (S21W36)
AND 8975 (S25E50) WERE NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. REGIONS 8970, 8971, AND 8972 ARE THE MOST PROBABLE
SOURCES OF ACTIVITY. A MAJOR FLARE IS POSSIBLE IN REGIONS 8970 OR
8971.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 APR a 26 APR
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 02% | 02% | 02% |
| Protón | 02% | 02% | 02% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 APR 206 Previsto 24 APR-26 APR 215/220/220 Media de 90 Días 23 APR 185
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 22 APR 004/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 APR 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 APR-26 APR 010/012-010/008-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 APR a 26 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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