Viendo archivo del sábado, 25 marzo 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Mar 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 085 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 MAR 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8926 (S10W45) WAS THE
MOST ACTIVE REGION DURING THE PERIOD. THIS REGION PRODUCED SEVERAL
C-CLASS EVENTS, THE LARGEST BEING A C8/SF AT 25/0947UT. REGION 8926
DIMINISHED IN SIZE SLIGHTLY DURING THE DAY BUT ALSO DEVELOPED INTO A
MORE COMPLEX BETA-GAMMA MAGNETIC CLASSIFICATION. REGIONS 8924
(N10E41), 8925 (S18E50), AND 8928 (N19E45) WERE ALSO ACTIVE DURING
THE PERIOD PRODUCING ISOLATED OPTICAL SUBFLARES. THE REST OF THE
REGIONS WERE MOSTLY STABLE AND SHOWED VERY LITTLE ACTIVITY DURING
THE DAY. AN 20 DEGREE LONG, DISAPPEARING SOLAR FILAMENT (DSF) WAS
DETECTED NEAR S54E07.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MOSTLY LOW WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENTS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE SOLAR WIND SPEED
BEGAN TO DECREASE DURING THE PERIOD, INDICATING THAT THE EARTH IS
MOVING OUT OF THE HIGH-SPEED CORONAL HOLE STREAM.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 MAR a 28 MAR
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 MAR 205 Previsto 26 MAR-28 MAR 205/205/200 Media de 90 Días 25 MAR 176
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 24 MAR 009/010 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 MAR 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 MAR-28 MAR 010/012-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 MAR a 28 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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