Viendo archivo del viernes, 24 marzo 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Mar 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 084 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 MAR 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS HIGH. REGION 8910 (N16W82) PRODUCED
AN X1/2B EVENT AT 24/0752UT. THE ACTIVITY INCLUDED TYPES II AND IV
SWEEPS AND A BURST OF 570 SFU AT 10 CM. TWO M-CLASS EVENTS ALSO
OCCURRED DURING THE PERIOD: AN M2/SF AT 24/1129UT FROM NEWLY
NUMBERED REGION 8928 (N21E67) AND AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED M2 EVENT
AT 24/1522UT. THIRTEEN SPOTTED REGIONS ARE CURRENTLY ON THE DISK.
REGIONS 8917 (N20W61), 8921 (S17E23), 8925 (S17E63), 8926 (S10W31),
AND 8927 (N17W14) WERE ALSO ACTIVE DURING THE PERIOD, ALL PRODUCING
ISOLATED OPTICAL SUBFLARES. REGION 8921 INCREASED IN SIZE BY 25
PERCENT AND NEARLY DOUBLED ITS NUMBER OF SPOTS (FROM 17 TO 26)
DURING THE PERIOD.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MODERATE WITH A CHANCE OF ISOLATED X-CLASS EVENTS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED, WITH A SINGLE
ACTIVE PERIOD OCCURRING AT 24/12-1500UT. THE SOLAR WIND SPEED
INCREASED FROM 550 TO 700 KM/S DURING THE DAY, PRESUMABLY RELATED TO
A WELL-POSITIONED CORONAL HOLE AND THE RESULTING HIGH-SPEED STREAM.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED ACTIVE
PERIODS DURING THE FIRST TWO DAYS OF THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 MAR a 27 MAR
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | YELLOW | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 MAR 219 Previsto 25 MAR-27 MAR 220/225/230 Media de 90 Días 24 MAR 176
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 MAR 008/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 MAR 015/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 MAR-27 MAR 015/020-015/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 MAR a 27 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 50% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 60% | 60% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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